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I think it will absolutely happen, as it has happened before, but the question is whether this means we will find new avenues to work and find work. ie discover new bottlenecks. I think yes.

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Fair enough, but this does not seem likely to me. No one seems to be able to meaningfully describe such a future in a coherent fashion. Yet, we are hurling ourselves towards a future with very well-define threats and no meaningful countermeasures. This positive messaging around labour, thus, comes across very disingenuous.

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This has been true forever, that the future is not coherent. It's literally an impossible ask to have clarity about the future in that fashion. And currently I see threats, sure, but also opportunities, and there is no reason to believe particularly that the threat is dominant in that fashion. There is of course the likelihood that labour will get disrupted, I say so about current trends, but I don't see this as a nihilistic situation.

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We can't always be relying on historical precedents for predictions. We should probably be analysing the current situation for what it is. Do those perceived opportunities outweigh the threats in your conception?

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Historical precedents give you the base rate, it shouldn't be dismissed. But also no I don't think anything I've seen, or expect, tilts me towards it being very negative.

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Fair enough. I trust you're knowledgeable on the matter and that there isn't anything new I can tell you. If you're not already wary, then it's just down to a divergence of opinions on the primitives.

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